Quantitative analysis of 2013–2014 revolutionary wave

Korotayev A.V.

Dr. Sci. (Hist.), Prof., Head of Laboratory for Monitoring Risks of Socio-Political Destabilization, National Research University Higher School of Economics; Leading Researcher of the International Research Laboratory for Demography and Human Capital, Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, Russia akorotayev@gmail.com

Isayev L.M.

National research Unversity Higher School of economics, Moscow, Russia isleonid@ yandex.ru

Vasiliev А.М.

Institute of Africa, Russian academy of sciences, Moscow, Russia dir@inafr.ru

ID of the Article: 5621

For citation:

Korotayev A.V., Isayev L.M., Vasiliev А.М. Quantitative analysis of 2013–2014 revolutionary wave. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya [Sociological Studies]. 2015. No 8. P. 119-127


The world has met with a new rather weak (although special enough) revolutionary wave in 2013–2014. Splash of protests in Cairo, Kiev and Bangkok led to regimes’ fall (with direct involvement of the military in the first and third cases). Waves of protests in Tunisia, Caracas, Istanbul-Ankara and Saraevo seriously challenged respective regimes not toppling them. The paper discusses common traits of these destabilizing waves occurring though synchronously in Venezuela, Ukraine, Thailand.

political regimes; center’s collapse; risks of socio-political destabilization; modernization processes; elections; сapital city
Content No 8, 2015